All Terrain Thinking

A Compendium of things I think are Important

"If you teach a man to think he is thinking, he will love you. If you teach a man to think, he will hate you. - Ed McArthur"
 
 

Economics: It's not just whats' in your wallet

Readings Macro (Top)

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Macro Other
Macro intro  
MM Output National security 
MM Labor Technology
MM productivity History
MM Capital Maps
MM FCM Research Methods 
Pre 1930s  
1930s-1940s Students stuff
1950s - 1960s                  
1970s international Visible Hand                
Exchange rates

  Social Security

International Monetary System   S&L
Balance of Payments   Federal
1970s Money   Deficits
1980s   History
1990s  
 

The Basics of Macroeconomics

Macro Introduction

Anders Åslund in his "The Myth of Output Collapse after Communism" suggests the declines reported in official statistics grossly overestimate the collapse in GDP because in the Communist era the numbers were inflated so the declines look larger

Robert Barskey and Lutz Kilian, "Oil and the macroeconomy since the 1970s," JEP Fall 2004

Harris & Codur, "Macroeconomics and the Environment," Tufts 1998
Dora Costa & Matthew Kahn, "The rising price of nonmarket goods," AEA May 2003

J. Bradford DeLong, Macroeconomics Textbook Manifesto

Brad DeLong, Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities in the Twenty-First Century Economy: A Preliminary Taxonomy July 2002

J. Bradford DeLong, The Shape of Twentieth Century Economic History  

Brad Delong, "Slouching Toward Utopia"

J. Bradford DeLong, "Slouching Toward Utopia," Regional Review 1998:3

"Economics of happiness," The Economist Aug 27, 2005

Economic Report of the President, 2005

John G. Fernald and Victoria Greenfield, "The rise and fall of the global economy," Chicago Fed Letter April 2001
Benjamin Friedman, "meltdown: A case study," The Atlantic Monthly J/A 2005
Steve Hanke, "Yugoslavia destroyed its own economy," WSJ 4/28/1999
Daniel Kahneman...., "Toward National well-being accounts," AER May 2004

John Katz, When the Economy Goes South: What happens in a recession? Regional Review 1999:3

Alan B. Krueger and Jitka Maleckova, "Education, Poverty, and Terrorism: Is There a Causal Connection?" JEP Fall 2003

Paul Krugman, "Age of anxiety," NYT 11/28/2005

Paul Krugman, "America wants security," NYT May 23, 2005

Sir Richard Layard, Happiness: Lessons from a new science, 2005

Joe Mattey, "Evolution of the quality of life in the US." FRBSF 9/13/1996

Robert Mundell  "A Reconsideration of the Twentieth Century" Nobel prize lecture 1999

Emily Oster, “Witchcraft, weather, and Economic growth in renaissance Europe,” JEP Winter 2004

Peter Passell, "Maybe it Wasn't the Economy in the 1992 Election," New York Times, January 20, 1996

Reinhart and Savastano, "The Realities of Modern Hyperinflation,"  Finance & Development,  June 2003

Alan Reynolds" Election Economics," , A Cato Commentary, The Washington Times, September 14, 2003.

 Alice M. Rivlin, Challenges of Modern Capitalism, NE Regional Review 3/2002

"Mark Rogers, "A Primer on Short-term Linkages between Key Economic Data Series," Economic Review 1998:2

Nouriel Roubini, Global Macroeconomics

Nouriel Roubini and David Backus, MBA Lectures in Macroeconomics

Nouriel Roubini U.S. Economy on web site under Current Policy Topics
Nouriel Roubini Is America an Empire? on web site under Current Policy Topics
The Real State of the Union  The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2003

Jacob Scheslinger, "Improving economic signals may no longer deliver votes," WSJ

US Economy  The Cato Institute

The Global Economy After September 11, IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO), The Global Economy After September 11, December 2001--Contents
The Information Technology Revolution, IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO), The Information Technology Revolution, October 2001--Contents
Robin Toner and marjorie Connelly, "Economy lifts Bush's support in latest poll," NYT 12/8/2005
Hans-Joachim Voth, "Living standard during the industrial revolution: An economist's guide." AEA May 2003

Michael Wines, "Zimbabwe's prices rise 900%, turning staples into luxuries," New York Times May 2, 2006)

"whose economy is it anyway?" NYT 12/25/2005

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Output Market  

Anders Åslund, "The Myth of Output Collapse after Communism," Carnegie Endowment for
"A knight's errand: Sir Crispin Tickell addresses students on dangers facing environment," Harvard Gazette, 12 December 2002. 
Green Accounting Bibliography
Green accounting
Richard Easterlin, "The worldwide standard of living since 1800," JEP Winter 2000
Cobb, Halsteqd, & Rowe, "If GDP is UP, Why is America Down?," The Atlantic Monthly October 1995
Dora Costa & Matthew Kahn, "The rising price of nonmarket goods," AER May 2003
Bob Hambly,  "Numbers," Time Magazine, 16 July 2001, Notebook, p. 15. [magazine] Time's weekly "Numbers" column highlights a misuse of GDP calculations: "$800,000,000 – How much Los Angeles drivers contribute to the GDP by burning gas in traffic jams. (So what's the point? We spend too much time in traffic--or thanks, drivers, for beefing up the U.S. bottom line?)"
"In the shodows: The informal economy is neither small nor benigh," The Economist 6/19/2004
Bary Hobijn & David Lagakos, "Inflation Inequality in the United States," FRBNY Staff Paper October 2003
Daniel Kahneman...., "Toward National Well-Being Accounts," AER May 2004
Kevin Kliessen, Assessing the Generational Gap in Future Living Standards through Generational Accounting,  Regional Economist July 1997
Paul Krugman,"age of Anziety," NYT 11/28/2005
Paul Krugman, "America wants security," NYT May 23, 2005
William Nordhaus, "Quality changes in price indexes," JEP Winter 1998
NPR Living on earth
Michael Pakko and Patricia Pollard, "Burger Survey Provides Taste of International Economics" The Regional Economist January 2004
Michael Pakko and Patricia Pollard, "Burgernomics: A Big Mac Guide to Purchasing Power Parity,"  Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Vol. 85, No. 6, November/December 2003, pp. 9-27.
Robert Pollak, "The Consumer Price Inxdex: A research agenda and three proposals," JEP Winter 1998
Peter Sanfy & Utku Teksoz, "Does transition make you happy?," European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, April 2005
Freidrich Schnieder, "Size and measurement of the Informal Economy in 110 Countries Around the World," World Bank Working Paper, July 2002
Kenneth Stewart, "National Income Accounting and Economic Welfare: The Concepts of GNP and MEW... St Louis
Jerry Useem, "The GDP and Stuff," Fortune 10/27/2003
Gernot Wagner,  "Fixing GDP: Green Accounting in the US," Living on Earth Today, 11 July 2002,
Ronal Wirtz, Gross Domestic Product: Understanding News from Noise  Region Minn Fed June 2002
What is GDP? What does it tell us about the performance of the nation's economy?
UN Human Development Report
UN HDR Statistics
US Commerce Department,  Integrated Economic and Environmental Satellite Accounts Survey of of Current Business April 1994
US Commerce Department, BEA's Strategic Plan for 2001-2005
US Commerce Department, Survey of Current Business
Vachris, Michelle and James Thomas. "International Price Comparisons and Purchasing Power Parity"
Hans-Joachim Voth, "Living standards during the industrial revolution: an economist's guide," AER May 2004
World Bank Quick Reference Tables
World Bank, Environmental Indicator Initiatives - An Overview of Selected Initiatives at the World Bank, 2002
World Bank, Estimating National Wealth: Methodology and Results, 1998
World Bank Indicators of Environment and Sustainable Development, 2003 (421KB PDF)
World Bank Green National Accounts: Policy Uses and Empirical Experience, 1996
World Bank, Mapping Global Environment
World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2001: Environment
 

Prices 

Box Office Hits: Adjusted and Unadjusted for Inflation

Box Office Hits: Adjusted and Unadjusted for Inflation

Todd E. Clark, "An Evaluation of the Decline in Goods Inflation,"  KCER 2: 2004

Todd E. Clark, Comparing Measures of Core Inflation KC Economic Review 2002:2

Todd E. Clark, A Comparison of the CPI and the PCE Price Index   KC Economic Review 1999:3

"Costs of Living: Official inflation rates suit nobody perfectly," The Economist June 5, 2004

Bart Hobijn and David Lagakos, Social Security and the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly, May   Volume 9, Number 5
Kevin Kliesen, "Critiquing the Consumer Price Index," The Regional Economist July 1997
Medievil prices
William Nordhaus, "Quality change in price indexes," JEP Winter 1998
Michael Pakko, "Comparing apples and oranges," The Regional Economist October 2002
Robert Pollak, "The consumer price index: A research agenda and three proposals," JEP Winter 1998
William Poole and Howard J. Wall, Price Stability and the Rising Tide: How Low Inflation Lifts All Ships Regional Economist Jan 2000
Charles Steindel, "Are there good alternatives to the CPI?,     Current Issues NYFed April 1997 
Symposium: Consumer Price Index  JEP Winter 2003
Jonathan L. Willis, What Impact Will E-Commerce Have on the U.S. Economy? KCER 2: 2004

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Labor Market  

BLS, Monthly Labor Review, Index
BLS's A Chartbook of International Labor Comparisons: United States, Europe, and Asia
BLS, Foreign Labor Statistics
IMF's World Economic Outlook Database
US Census: Tables of Income by Detailed Socioeconomic Characteristics
"Are 5.1m Americans missing from the unemployment figures? The Economist July 30, 2005
Judith Banister, "Manufacturing earnings and compensation in China," BLS Monthly Labor Review Aug 2005
Judith Banister, "Manufacturing employment in China," BLS Monthly Labor Review July 2005
Robert W. Bednarzik, "Restructuring information technology: is offshoring a concern?," BLS Monthly Labor Review Aug 2005
Katherine Bradbury, "Rising Tide in the Labor Market: To What Degree Do Expansions Benefit the Disadvantaged?," NEER M/J 2000  
William Bridges, "The end of the job," Fortune 9/19/1994
Sharon P. Brown and Lewis B. Siegel, "Mass layoff data indicate outsourcing and offshoring work," BLS Monthly Labor Review Aug 2005
Kristie M. Engemann, Leora Friedberg and Michael T. Owyang, Keep your resume current," The Regional Economist January 2005
Howard Fullerton's, "Labor force participation: 75 years of change, 1950-98 and 1998-2025."
Daniel E. Hecker, "Occupational employment projections to 2014" BLS Monthly Labor Review Nov 2005
Elizabeth T. Hil, Labor force participation of older women: retired? working? both?a," Monthly Labor Review Sept. 2002
Yolanda Kodrzycki, Discouraged and Other Marginally Attached Workers: Evidence on Their Role in the Labor Market  NEER M/J 2000 
Walter Licht, "How the workplace has changed in 75 years, " Monthly Labor Review Feb 1988
Jane Sneddon Little and Robert K. Triest, The Impact of Demographic Change on U.S. Labor Markets,"  NEER 2002:1
Joseph R. Meisenheimer, "Real compensation, 1979 to 2003: analysis from several data sources," BLS Monthly Labor Review May 2005
Constance Sorrentino, "International unemployment rates: how comparable are they?," Monthly Labor Review June 2000
Constance Sorrentino and Joyanna Moy, U.S. labor market performance in international perspective Monthly Labor Review June. 2002
Robert F. Szafran, Age-adjusted labor force participation rates, 1960-2045 Monthly Labor Review Sept. 2002
Norman C. Saunders, "A summary of BLS projections to 2014," BLS Monthly Labor Review Nov 2005
Betty W. Su, "The U.S. economy to 2014," BLS Monthly Labor Review Nov 2005
Mitra Toossi, "Labor force projections to 2014: retiring boomers," BLS Monthly Labor Review Nov 2005
Mitra Toossi, "A century of change: U.S. labor force from 1950 to 2050," Monthly Labor Review May 2002
Edward H.Yelin and Laura Trupin, Disability and the characteristics of employment, Monthly Labor Review June 2000

 

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Productivity

Bart van Ark and Robert H. McGuckin, " International labor productivity and per capita income," Monthly Labor Review, July 1999
Edwin R. Dean, "The accuracy of the BLS productivity measures" Monthly Labor Review, February 1999
Lucy P. Eldridge, "How price indexes affect BLS productivity measures" Monthly Labor Review, Feb 1999
William Gullickson and Michael J. Harper, "Possible measurement bias in aggregate productivity growth" Monthly Labor Review, Feb 1999
Ziaul Z. Ahmed and Patricia S. Wilder, "Multifactor productivity trends in manufacturing industries, 1987–96"  Monthly Labor Review, June 2001
The Microchip Flexes Its Muscle: Can It Compare with History's Best?

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Capital Market  

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State of the Union

2003

Stephen Cohen & Brad DeLong, "Shaken and Stirred," The Atlantic Monthly J/F
Hanna Rosen, "Beyond Belief,", The Atlantic Monthly J/F
Jonatan Rauch, "Bipolar Disorder,", The Atlantic Monthly J/F

William Powers, "The Massless media," The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2005

P J O’Rourke, “Continental Divides,” The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2005

Part I: The Economy

2004
America's Fortunes by the Editors
Are We Still a Middle-Class Nation? by Michael Lind 
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
America's "Suez Moment" by Sherle R. Schwenninger
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004

Part II: Society
The Angry American by Paul Starobin
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
The Other Gender Gap by Marshall Poe
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
The Tuition Crunch by Jennifer Washburn
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
Putting a Value on Health by Don Peck
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
Insurance Required by Laurie Rubiner
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
Information, Please by Shannon Brownlee
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004

Part III: Governance
The $45 Trillion Problem by Nathan Littlefield
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
Radical Tax Reform by Maya MacGuineas
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
The Chieftains and the Church by Ted Halstead
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
Nation-Building 101 by Francis Fukuyama
The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004

2003

The $45 Trillion Problem by Nathan Littlefield The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
The Forgotten Home Front

Suspicious Minds

The New Continental Divide

The Overtreated American

The $6,000 Solution

Mongrel America

Spendthrift Nation

The Black Gender Gap

One-Dimensional Growth

The Parent Trap

A Grand Compromise

The Fuel Subsidy We Need

Taking Stock

The American Paradox
Ra

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Evolution of Macroeconomic Theory

  • Brad DeLong, Slouching Toward Utopia,  in Federal Reserve Bank of Boston 1998
  • Brad DeLong: Slouching Towards Utopia?: 20th Century Economic History  (The Old Draft has more extensive history links)

Pre 1903s

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1930s

Inaugural speeches
FDR's First InauguralAddress Saturday, March 4, 1933
FDR's Second Inaugural Address Wednesday,January 20, 1937
FDR's Third Inaugural Address Monday, January20, 1941
FDR's Fourth Inaugural Address Saturday,January 20, 1945
Fireside Chats
On the Bank Crisis. Sunday, March 12, 1933
Outlining the New Deal Program. Sunday, May 7, 1933
On the Purposes and Foundations of the Recovery Program. Monday, July 24, 1933
On the Currency Situation Sunday, October 22, 1933
Review of the Achievements of the Seventy-third Congress. Thursday, June 28, 1934
On Moving Forward to Greater Freedom and Greater Security. Sunday, September 30, 1934
On the Works Relief Program. Sunday, April 28, 1935
On Drought Conditions. Sunday, September 6, 1936
On the Reorganization of the Judiciary. 1936
1930s Great Depression Gallery, Michigan Historical Museum
1930s timeline
A Better System in the 19th Century? - Global Policy Forum ...
A New Deal for the Arts  (National Archives)

"A refresher on the 1930s," The Economist 9/19/1998

America in the 30s
Coke ads

Art projects (murals)

Brad Delong, "The Roaring 20s"

Civil works Admistration (photos)

Conrad Black, "Capitalism's Savior," Wall Street Journal 

Economic and Fiscal Policy, Home Japanese Economic and Fiscal Policy. ... Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy
Federal Reserve Act

John Maynard Keynes, The World's Economic Outlook, The Atlantic Monthly, May 1932

Paul Krugman, "The Return of Depression Economics," Foreign Affairs Jan/Feb 1999, 
IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO), Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Stability. IMF
Labor movement picts
New Deal Network
New Deal Timeline
Sacco & Vanzetti Case, The Atlantic Monthly 1927
Songs of the Great Depression
Photographs of the Great Depression
The Depression Papers of Herbert Hoover, The Bonus March

"The New deal: Time for a New Look," Wall Street Journal  

Tariff History Table
The Depression Papers of Herbert Hoover
The Depression Papers of Herbert Hoover
The Depression Papers of Herbert Hoover, The Bonus March
The Federal Writers'
Microsoft's site on FDR with links to cartoons, the fireside chats, and the FDR Library includes audio clips, and America in the 30s project at the University of Virginia, which includes some audio clips and film analysi
Project of the 1930s where the life stories of more than 10,000 men and woman from a variety of occupations and ethnic groups were recorded.  Another would be some photos from this era available on-line at the Library of Congress, the FDR Library, or from Corbis
WW II Propoganda
 

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1960s

For those who want a little more of the 60s, you might check out the following for some "visuals" of the 1960s. 
Posters American Style: The March on Washington, August 28, 1963
Posters American Style: The Moon Landing
A Visual Journey: Photographs by Lisa Law, 1965-1971
Posters American Style: The Vietnam War

 

Daniel Aaronson and Daniel Sullivan, "Cross-state evidence on the relationship between unemployment and wage growth" Chicago Fed Letter
 
Marco Del Negro, Turn, Turn, Turn: Predicting Turning Points in Economic Activity, , Atlanta FRB Economic Review 2001II
Espinoza-Vega & Russell, "History and Theory of the NAIRU: A Critical Review," Atlanta FRB Economic Review 1997:2
Jeffrey C. Fuhrer and Scott Schuh “Beyond Shocks: What Causes Business Cycles? An Overview” NE Economic Review November/December 1998 
Fred Kaplan, JFK's first-strike plan, The Atlantic Monthly; Boston; Oct 2001
Kevin Kliesen, "The NAIRU: Tailor-Made for the Fed?, The Regional Economist October 1999
Kevin Lansing, "Spendthrift Nation," FRBSF 11/10/2005
Milt Marquis, "What's behind the low US personal savings rate?," FRBSF 3/29/2002
Charles R. Morris, "It's not the economy stupid," The Atlantic Monthly, July 1993
Dimitri B. Papadimitriou and L. Randall, . Fiscal Policy For the Coming Recession: Large Tax Cuts are Needed to Prevent a Hard Landing  Wray Policy Notes. 2001/2 Jerome Levy Economics Institute
Ellen R. Rissman, "Can sectoral labor reallocation explain the jobless recovery?" Chicago fed letter December 2003  (PDF 66KB)
Conference Board
e-forecasting
Congressional Budget Office
DRI-WFI
[The History Guy: Arab-Israeli Wars: Suez War (1956)]
civil rights
farewell address to the nation in 1961
Economic and Fiscal Policy, Home Japanese Economic and Fiscal Policy. ... Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy
Fiscal Policy Studies, Cato Institute
IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO), Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Stability. IMF

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Forecasting

Bold Moves: What Governments might accomplish in the next 50 years, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars 
David Brooks, "Looking Back on TomorrowThe Atlantic Monthly, April 2002
Geoffrey Colvin, "An executive risk handbook," Fortune 10/3/2005
Brad DeLong Introduction to Slouching Toward Utopia,
Famous Predictions From Throughout History,
Geopolitics and Energy, Key Trends: 2000-2020 by Anthony H. Cordesman, Center for Strategic and International Studies July 2002.
Info Savy - collection of writings / presentations
Robert D Kaplan, The world in 2005, The Atlantic Monthly; Boston; Mar 2002
Abraham Lustgarten, "Getting ahead of the weather," Fortune 2/7/2005
Bill McKibben, A special moment in history, The Atlantic Monthly; Boston; May 1998  (environment)
New Economics
The Next Society, The Economist, November 3, 2001

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1970s International

International

C. Alan Garner, Offshoring in the Service Sector:  Economic Impact and Policy Issues     KCER 3:2004
Justin Fox, "Where your job is going," Fortune 11/24/2003
"Offshoring: Relocating the back office," The Economist 12/13/2003
Nelson Schwartz, "Will 'made in America' fade away?," TFortune 11/24/2003
Trade and Finance, IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO)-- September 2002
Jane Sneddon LittlePerspective: Outsourcing Jobs Overseas: A Cause for Concern? ( NE Regional Review 2/3 2004)
Summers, "Reflections on managing global integration," Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 1999

 

Exchange Rates

"Better than guesswork?"  The Economist 10/30/1999
Chiodo & Owyang, "A Case Study of a Currency Crisis: The Russian Default of 1998," St L Economic Review N/D 2002
Exchange Roller Coasters The strong dollar-weak dollar debate and the vagaries of currency exchange rate regimes.
Croke...,"Financial market developments and economic activity during current account adjustments in industrial economies," FRB 2005
"Currency competition," The Economist 9/29/2005
Thomas Friedman, "Honey I shrunk the dollar." NYT 2/24/2005
Johnatan Fuerbringer, "talk in Japan shakes dollar and treasurues," 3/11/2005
Joseph Gagnon, "Currency Crashes and Bond Yields in Industrial Countries," FRB 2005
Reuven Glick, "The Bretton Woods System: are we experiencing a revival? symposium summary," FRBSF 11/25/2005
"Hard landing heresy," The economist 9/10/2005
"How the bug can spread," The Economist 7/21/2001
Henry Kaufman, "Today's Financial Euphoria Can't Last," WSJ 11/25/1996
Andrew Kramer, "Awash in petrodollars, Russia frets about paradoxes of bounty," NYT 11/15/2005
Jane Little, Anatomy of a Currency Crisis: What we can learn from Southeast Asia Regional Review Fall 1997
Michael R. Pakko and Patricia S. Pollard, Burgernomics: A Big Mac™ Guide to Purchasing Power Parity (PDF 734k), Data (.xls)
Michael R. Pakko and Patricia S. Pollard, Burger Survey Provides Taste of International Economics, Regional Economist January 2004
Eduardo Porter, "Waiting for the petrodollars to trickle down," NYT 10/16/2005
"Pushing the euro, puling the yen,"  The Economist 7/17/1999
Mark Speigal, "Japanese Foreign Exchange Intervention," FRBSF Economic Letter 12/12/2003
"The battle royal for Brazil's real,"  The Economist 9/12/98
"The dwindling dollar," The Economist 10/29/1994
"The perils of prediction,"  The Economist  8/1/1998
"The dwindling dollar,"  The Economist 10/29/1994
Ronald Wertz, "Exchange Roller Coasters," The Region December 2002
Nouriel Roubini's Asian Crisis

Euro
History of European Union

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International Monetary Systems 

Andrew Berg & Eduardo Borensztein, "Full Dollarization: The Pros and Cons," IMF December 2000
Chang, "Dollarization: A Scorecard," Economic Review Atlanta Fed, 2000:3
J. Bradford DeLong, "Post-World War II Western European Exceptionalism: The Economic Dimension," in Ivan Berend, ed., Looking at the Marshall Plan (Berkeley: University of California Press, forthcoming).
J K Galbraith, "The Brazilian Swindle and the Larger International Monetary Problem," Levy Institute 2002/2
Kopke, "Currency Board: Once an Future Monetary Regimes?" NE Economic Review M/J 1999
Jane Sneddon Little and Giovanni Olivei, , "Why the Interest in Reforming the International Monetary System?," NE Economic Review S/O 1999
Jane Sneddon Little and Giovanni Olivei, "Rethinking the International Monetary System: An OverviewNE Economic Review N/D 1999
"Man of the hour," The Economist 10/16/1999
Meltzer & Sachs, "A Blueprint for IMF Reform,"  WSJ
Pakko & Pollard," Burgernomics: A Big Mac™ Guide to Purchasing Power Parity," St L Economic Review, N/D 2001 (PDF 734k)
Nouriel Roubini and Brad Setser, "The US as a Net Debtor: The Sustainability of the US Imbalances", Revised November 2004.
Kenneth Rogoff, "Managing the World ecoomy," The Economist 8/3/2002
Stiglitz, "Thanks for Nothing," The Atlantic Monthly October 2001
Summers, "Reflections on managing global integration," Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 1999
"The dollar and the deficit," The Economist 9/14/2002
Velde & Veracierto, "Dollarization in Argentina," Chicago Fed Letter 6/1999
Nouriel Roubini Debate on IMF and World Bank Reform on web site under International Financial Systems
Nouriel Roubini Debt Relief for Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC)  on web site under International Financial Systems
Nouriel Roubini Current Global Financial Issues on web site under International Financial Systems
Jeffrey D. Sachs, How to Run the International Monetary Fund Foreign Policy J/A 2004
Lawrence H. Summers, America Overdrawn Foreign Policy J/A 2004

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Balance of Payments and Trade

Cletus C. Coughlin, Michael R. Pakko and William Poole, Is the U.S. Current Account Deficit Dangerous?, The Regional Economist, April 2006
J. Bradford DeLong (1998), "Robber Barons", in Anders Aslund, ed., Perspectives on Russian Economic Development (Moscow: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace).
David Brooks, "Trade, oppression, revenge," NYT 12/25/2005
Justin Fox, "Where your job is going," Fortune 11/24/2003
Thomas Friedman, "30 little turtles," NYT 2/29/2005
Thomas Friedman, "It's a flat world, after all," NYT 4/3/2005
Thomas Friedman, "What goes around" NYT 2/26/2005
Thomas Friedman, "smaller and smaller," NYT 3/4/2005
Linda S. Goldberg and Keith Crockett, "The Dollar and U.S. Manufacturing," FRBNY Current Issues, December   Volume 4, Number 12 1998
George A. Kahn, Economic Integration: Opportunities and Challenges--A Summary of the Bank's 2000 Symposium   KC Fed
Hervey & Kouparitas, "Should we be concerned about the current account?," Chicago Fed Letter, April 2000
Higgins & Klitgaard, "Viewing the current account deficit as a capital inflow," FRBNY Current Issues 12/1998
Jill A. Holman , "Is the Large U.S. Current Account Deficit Sustainable?," Chicago Fed Economic Review 2001:1
Rik Kirkland, "Will the US be flattened by a flatter world?," Fortune 7/27/2005
Nicholas Kristoff, "A gift to the world, and ourselves," 12/25/2005
Abraham Lustgarten, "Drug testing goes offshore," Fortune 9/8/2005
Timothy Obrien, "Are US innovators losing their competitive edge?" NYT 11/13/2005
"Outsourcing in eastern Europe," The Economist 12/3/2005
Pakko, "The US Trade deficit and the New Economy," StL Review S/O 1999
Pakko The U.S. Trade Deficit: Sideshow to the "New Economy"? The Regional Economist April 2002
Papaioannou & Kei-Mu Yi, "The effects of a booming economy on the US trade deficit," RBNY Current Issues, 2/2001
Daniel Pink, "The new face of silicon valley," Wired 2/2004
Saritha rai, "Indians find they can go home," 12/26/2005
Saritha Rai, "A tutor hal a world away, but as close as the keyboard," NYT 9/7/2005
John Ralston Saul, "The collapse of globalism: and the rebirth of nationalism," Harpers March 2004
Nelson Schwartz, "Will 'Made in America' fade away?," Fortune 11/24/2003
Jeffrey Schott, "Unlocking the benefits of world trade," The Economist 11/1/2003
Lawrence Summers, Reflections on managing global integration, JEP Spring 1999
The Controversy Over Free Trade: The Gap Between Economists and the General Public, Cletus C. Coughlin  FRBSF Review J/F 2002
"The great thrift shift," The Economist 9/24/2005
Howard Wall, "NAFTA and the Geography of North American Trade," St L Economic Review, M/A 2003
The Global Economy After September 11, IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO), The Global Economy After September 11, December 2001--Contents
The Information Technology Revolution, IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO), The Information Technology Revolution, October 2001--Contents

1970s Money

Readings

J. Brad DeLong, "America's Only Peacetime Inflation: The 1970s," 12/19/1995
William F. Hummel, Money : What it is and How it Works A series of short  articles
Paul Krugman, "The Return of Depression Economics," Foreign Affairs Jan/Feb 1999
Peltz, "Dear Mr. Greenspan," Worth J/A 2002
Romer & Romer, "Monetary Policy and the Well-Being of the Poor," KC Economic Review 1999:1
Jack and the beanstalk - and money

The fed and asset markets

"Bubble trouble," The Economist 9/4/1999 
Andrew J. Filardo, "Monetary Policy and Asset Prices," KC Fed Economic Review, 2000:3
Holcomb & Hussain, "Asset price bubbles: implications for monetary regulatory, and international policies." Chicago Fed Letter 9/2002
"Hubble, bubble, inflation trouble?," The Economist 5/9/1998
Nouriel Roubini Is the Fed Causing an Asset Bubble? on the web site under International Financial Systems

The fed and its policies

Ben S. Bernanke, Alan S. Blinder, and Bennett T. McCallum, Panel Discussion I: What Have We Learned Since October 1979? FRBSTL Review M/A 2005
R. W. Hafer and David C. Wheelock, "The Rise and Fall of a Policy Rule: Monetarism at the St. Louis Fed, 1968-1986 ,"  FRBSTL Review J/F 2001
R.W. Hafer, What Remains of Monetarism?,  Atlanta FRB Economic Review 2001:IV
Kozicki, "How Useful Are Taylor Rules for Monetary Policy?" KC Economic Review 1999:2
David E. Lindsey, Athanasios Orphanides, and Robert H. Rasche, "The Reform of October 1979: How It Happened and Why" FRBSTL Review M/A 2005
Allan H. Meltzer, Origins of the Great Inflation  FRBSTL Review M/A 2005
Laurence H. Meyer, Does Money Matter,  FRBSTL Review, S/O 2001
"Monopoly power over money," The Economist, November 20, 1999
Patricia S. Pollard, "A Look Inside Two Central Banks: The European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve," 
FRBSTL Review J/F 2003
Poole, "Monetary policy rules," StLFed Review M/A 1999
"The central banker as god," The Economist 11/14/1998

William Poole, Volcker’s Handling of the Great Inflation Taught Us Much Regional Economist, 1/2005

Background Material

 
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,"  
Richard N. Cooper and Jane Sneddon Little, “U.S. Monetary Policy in an Integrating World: 1960 to 2000” NE Economic Review 2001:3Abstract + Full text PDF
"More bubble and squeak," The Economist 4/20/2002
Pu Shen, "How Important Is the Inflation Risk Premium?" KC Economic Review 1998:4

History of money

"Crisp and even" The Economist 12/22/2001

Glyn Davies, Money in North American History. From Wampum to Electronic Funds Transfer

"Money matters: The American Experience with Money," Chicago Fed

R. A. Radford, "The Economic Organization of a P.O.W. Camp," Economica 1945, pp. 189-201.

Ron's Currency... The History of U.S. Paper Money

François R. Velde, Following the yellow brick road: How the United States adopted the gold standard  

Wizard of Oz Littlefield American Monetary Institute  

Learning Network, U.S. Money History
Inflation Conversion Factors for Dollars 1800 to the Present
Consumer Price Indexes, from the Department of Labor
Conversion of Dollars Adjusting for Inflation
What was the Inflation Rate Then?[Calculator of Periods of Inflation]

Interest rates

Forces That Shape the Yield Curve, Mark Fisher, Atlanta FRB Economic Review 2001

Back

1980s

Reaganomics

Robert Barskey and Lutz Kilian, "Oil and the macroeconomy since the 1970s," JEP Fall 2004
Bill Keller, "THE RADICAL PRESIDENCY OF GEORGE W. BUSH; Reagan's Son",   NYT Sunday Magazine, January 26, 2003, Sunday

Bharat Trehan, "Why hasn't the jump in oil prices led to a recession," FRBSF 11/18/2005

Bill Keller, "Reagan's Son," NYT 1/26/2003

 

Economic growth

President Carter's Malaise speech
Center for International Development: Geography and Economic Growth
 
Abed & Davoodi, Challenges of Growth and Globalization in the Middle East and North Africa IMF Sep 2003
D Acemoglu,..., "The colonial origins of comparative development: an empirical investigation," AER December 2001
David Aschauer, "Rx for productivity: build infrastructure," Chicago Fed Letter 9/1988
Anders Åslund, "The Myth of Output Collapse after Communism," Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2001
Robert Barro & Rachel McCleary, "Religion and economic growth," NBER WP 9682
Scott Baier...., "Modern economic growth and recent stagnation," Economic Review (Atlanta) 2003:3
Fred Block, "The 'Thing' Economy and the 'Care' Economy," Alternet.org Nov 7, 2003
Lynn Elaine Browne and Rebecca Hellerstein, "Are We Investing Too Little?," NEER N/D 1997
Crafts, Nicholas. "Forging ahead and falling behind: the rise and relative decline of the first industrial nation." JEP. Spring 1998
Giovanni Andrea Cornia and Tony Addison with Sampsa Kiiski's article, "Income Distribution Changes and their Impact in the Post-World War II Period" describe the magnitude of the growing inequality internationally
Giovanni Andrea Cornia and Julius Courtin's  "Inequality, Growth and Poverty in the Era of Liberalization and Globalization" (UN Policy Brief No. 4, 2001)
Douglas Dalenberg & Randall Eberts, "Public intrastructire and economic develpoment," Economic Commentary 1/15/1988
Brad Delong, "The meaning of economic growth,"
J. Bradford DeLong, "What Do We Really Know About Economic Growth?" in Michael Boskin., ed., Economic Growth (Stanford: Hoover Institution, forthcoming).
J. Bradford DeLong (1993), "Very Long-Run Economic Growth, ca. 1870-1990," in Horst Siebert, ed., Economic Growth in the World Economy (Kiel: Institute for World Economics).
J. Bradford DeLong and Lawrence H. Summers (1993), "Macroeconomic Policy and Long-Run Growth," Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Quarterly Review.
J. Bradford DeLong (1997), "Renewing Economic Growth: Lessons from More than a Decade of Research." (Washington, DC: ACCF).
Jared Diamond, Guns, germs, and steel," 1997
David Dollar & Aart Kraay, "Economic growth is good for the poor," World Bank 2000
Chrys Dougherty and Dale Jorgenson,  "International Comparisons of the Sources of Economic Growth", American Economic Review, vol. 86, no. 2, May 1996, pp. 25-29
Steven Dowrick and J. Bradford DeLong, "Globalisation and Convergence," in Jeffrey Williamson, ed., Globalization in Historical Perspective (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, forthcoming).
Richard Easterlin, "The worldwide standard of living since 1800," JEP Winter 2000
William Easterly & Ross Levine, "tropics, germs, and Crops: How endowments influence development," NBER WP 9106
Stephen Easton and  Michael Walker,  "Income, Growth, and Economic Freedom," American Economic Review, vol. 87, no. 2, May 1997, pp. 328-32
"Economic reform and growth." AER. May 1996
Sebastian Edwards, "Openness, productivity and growth: What do we really know," Economic Journal March 1998
Sebastian Edwards, "Why are savings rates so different across countries? An international comparative analysis. NBER WP 5097 April 1995
Roger Ferguson& WilliamWascher, "Distinguised lecture on economics in government: lessons from past productivity booms," JEP Spring 2004
Charles Fishman, "The toll of a new machine," Fast Company May 2004
Christopher Foote, William Block, Keith Crane and Simon Gray, "Economic Policy and Prospects in Iraq," JEP Summer 2004
Frazier Institute, Economic Freedom of the World (index)
Timothy Frye and Andrei Shleifer, "The Invisible Hand and the Grabbing Hand," American Economic Review, vol. 87, no. 2, May 1997, pp. 354-58
God, man, and growth," The Economist 11/15/2003
Robin Grier, "Colonial legacies and economic growth," Public Choice March 1999
Growth and Institutions, IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO)-- April 2003
Robert Hall and Charles Jones,  "Levels of Economic Activity across Countries," American Economic Review, vol. 87, no. 2, May 1997, pp. 173-77
Robert Hall and Charles Jones, "why do some countries produce so much more output per worker than other countries," Quarterly Journal of Economics 1999
Hall, Robert E. and Charles Jones. "What we have learned from recent empirical growth research." AER.   May 1997
Milka S. Kirova and Robert E. Lipsey, "Measuring Real Investment: Trends in the United States and International Comparisons" Review, StLFRB, J/F 1998
Kenneth Kasa, "Growth and government policy: lessons from Hong Kong and Singapore," FRBSF 10/21/1994
Kevin L. Kliesen and Frank A. Schmid, Fear of Hell Might Fire Up the Economy, The Regional Economist July 2004
Timur Kuran, "Why the Middle East is Economically Underdeveloped: Historical Mechanisms of Institutional Stagnation," JEP Summer 2004
David Landes, The Wealth and Poverty of Nations, 1998
Angus Maddison, The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective, Development Centre of the Orgnization for Economic C0-Operation and Development, 2001
Preston Miller and James Schmitz, "Breaking down the barriers to technological progress," Minn Fed 1996 Annual Report biblio to other studies)
Ming Lu, Jianyong Fan, Shejian Liu, and Yan Yan, Employment restructuring during China’s economic transition," Monthly Labor Review August 2002
"New growth theory and economic history: match or mismatch?" AER. May 1996
Marcus Noland,  Religion, Culture, and Economic Performance by Institute for International Economics Sep 2003 
"Out of anarchy," The Economist 2/19/2000
"Poverty and the ballot box," The Economist 5/14/2005
Lant Pritchett,  "Divergence, big time." JEP. Summer 1997
"Roots of development,"  The Economist 10/5/2002
Jeffrey Sachs, "Tropical Underdevelopment," CID September 2000
Jeffrey Sachs, "Nature, nurture, and growth," The Economist 6 / 14 / 1997
Jeffrey Sachs..., "Ending Africa's Poverty Trap," Brookings Institution 2004
Jeffrey Sachs, "Helping the world's poorest," The Economist
Jeffrey D Sachs and Andrew Warner,  "Fundamental Sources of Long-Run Growth," American Economic Review, vol. 87, no. 2, May 1997, pp. 184-88
Xavier Sala-i-Martin, "I Just Ran Two Million Regressions," American Economic Review, vol. 87, no. 2, May 1997, pp. 178-83
Xavier Sala-i-Martin's Syllabus, ECONOMICS G6301, ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT I (Fall 2002)
Marcelo Selowsky and Ricardo Martin, "Policy Performance and Output Growth in the Transition Economies," American Economic Review, vol. 87, no. 2, May 1997, pp. 349-53
"The devil's excrement," The Economist 5/24/2003
"The global menace of local strife," The Economist 5/24/2003
"The road to hell is unpaved," The Economist 12/21/2002
Bhat Trehan, "Trade and growth: some recent evidence," FRBSF 7/1/1994
World Bank's 2000 World Development Indicators
World Bank, 2006 World Development Report - Equity and Development.
World Bank's "Doing Business"
Tarik Yousel, "Development, Growth and Policy Reform in the Middle East and North Africa since 1950," JEP Summer 2004
 

Back

1990s

Setting

James Dale Davidson, "The depression of the 1990s-It's already here," WSJ 2/11/1993
Cogley, "The recession, the recovery, and the productivity slowdown," FRBSF Weekly Letter 1/8/93
"Hard Times Again," The Economist 1/5/1991
Paul McCracken, "Better times ahead, WSJ 7/21/93
Ellen R. McGrattan and Edward C. Prescott, Productivity and the Post-1990 U.S. Economy StLFED Review J/A 2005
Motley, "The sources of the growth slowdown" FRBSF Weekly Letter 2/5/93
Motley, "The landing was harder than we thought!," FRBSF Weekly Letter 10/19/90
Brian O'Reilly, "Preparing for leaner times," Fortune 1/27/92
Pennar & McNamee, "The new face of recession," Business Week 12/24/1990
Pennar, "Ask not what your economy can do for you...," Business Week 12/17/1990
Allen Sinai, "What's Wrong with the Economy?," Challenge N/D 1992
"The American dream, the American nightmare," The Economist 10/7/89
Throop,"The Slow Recovery," FRBSF Weekly Letter 9/25/92
Trehan, "TAn unprecedented slowdown," FRBSF Weekly Letter 5/8/92
Trenholme, "Where's the recovery?" FRBSF Weekly Letter 11/27/92
Uchitelle, "Not getting ahead? better get used to it.," NYT 12/16/90

New Economy (I&E Reading List)

W. Brian Arthur, "Why tech is still the future," fortune 11/24/2003
"Lessons from the tax reforms of the 1980s." AER. May 1995
Phineas Baxandall, Taxing Habits  
Joseph J Cordes, "Reconciling normative and positive theories of government." AER May 1997
J. Bradford DeLong, "Macroeconomic Vulnerabilities in the Twenty-First Century Economy: A Preliminary Taxonomy," International Finance 2002:2. Also in Adam Posen, ed., Stabilization Policy: Why and How? (New York: Council on Foreign Relations). Slides for conference presentation.
John D Donahue,  "Tiebout? or not Tiebout? The market metaphor and America's devolution." JEP. Fall 1997
Robert Heilbroner, "Anti-depression economics," The Atlantic Monthly April 2003
Richard Musgrave,  "Devolution, grants, and fiscal competition." JEP Fall 1997
E. Matthew Quigley  state financial crises
Joseph Stiglitz, "Distinguished lecture on economics in government: The private uses of public interests: Incentives and Institutions." JEP. Spring 1998
Vito Tanzi and Ludger Schukenecht. "Reconsidering the fiscal role of government: The international perspective." AER May 1997
Alan Tonelson, "Clinton's World," The Atlantic Monthly February 1993
The Return of Big Government
The 21st Century Economy, Business Week, Aug 24-31, 1998
21st Century Capitalism, Business Week, Nov 18, 1994
What's left?," The Economist 5/12/2001
Nouriel Roubini New Economy and Productivity Growth on web site under Current Policy Topics
 

Back

2000s

Kevin Kliesen, Do We Have a Saving Crisis? StL Regional Economist July 2005

2000s Bush Macro Policies

bullet "Briefings: At issue in the 2004 Election," Harpers July 2004
bullet Budget Options, 2001
bullet Colvin, "Soaking the rich? Better believe it." Fortune 4/14/2003
bullet "The suits inside the battledress," The Economist 4/19/2003
bullet Citizens for Tax Justice, "How Do the Bush Tax Cuts Effect Your State? New Fact Sheets Available" 11.25.03
bullet Law
bullet CTJ Analysis of Revised Bush Tax Plan
bullet resident Bush Signs HR 2, Containing Major Tax Cut for ..
bullet Tax, Legal, Legislative Highlights: President Bush Signs Tax-Cut .
bullet ext of the of the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Act of
bullet Agenda for tax relief released in February 2001, and signed into law as the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Act of 2001 [text of the of the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Act of 2001
bullet Crimes Against Nature, Bush is sabotaging the laws that have protected America's environment for more than thirty years, By Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
bullet Nouriel Roubini China's Economy    and  Geo-Strategic Implications of a Rising China on web site under Current Policy Topics

Election

New York Times election
Presidential election maps...
Election maps (UVA) all presidential elections
Liep's election maps
Presidents of US
US Senate History
2004 Election map (UMich)

History

250 Best movies
Advertising in US history
American History Timeline - Smithsonian Institution
"A Taste of Adventure," The Economist, December 19, 1998
Michael Bordo, Barry Eichengreen and Douglas Irwin (1999), "Is Globalization Today Really Different from Globalization a Hundred Years Ago?"
China history
Condensed China history
Brad DeLong Slouching Towards Utopia: Old Draft;
Digital Archive of Architecture and Digital Archive of American Architecture
Eagleton Political History
EH-Net (Economic History page) links to data for US & UK
Famous trials
Stefano Fenoaltea (1988), "International Resource Flows and Construction Movements in the Atlantic Economy: The Kuznets Cycle in Italy, 1861-1913," Journal of Economic History 48, pp.605-637.
Geostat Center: Collections: Historical Census Browser
Global Connections Middle East::  PBS Timeline 
Historical Census Statistics on Population Totals By Race, 1790 to 1990, and By Hispanic Origin, 1970 to 1990, For The United States, Regions, Divisions, and States
"Historical Census Statistics on the Foreign-born Population of the United States: 1850-1990"
Historical Decennial Census Population and Housing Unit Counts, 1790-1990
Historical Atlas of the Twentieth Century
Historical Atlas of the Twentieth Century
History Channel technology timeline
History Timelines on the Web ... The History Beat
Thomas Hughes, " Industrial Revolutions: From Canal Systems to Computer Networks," the Gould Distinguished Lecture Series, Annual Address in 2000.  
Indus history
India history
Hans Koning, Notes on the twentieth century, The Atlantic Monthly; Boston; Sep 1997
LiteraryCritic.com -- Home (list of 100 BIG books)
Medievil prices
Metropolitan Museum
Modern Inventions (About.com)
NBER Historical data
Ottomans
Pre-WWI Gold Standard            Financial Crises in the 1890s and 1990s
Presidential election maps...
Television History - The First 75 Years
territorial expansion maps
Timelines.Info - Graphical Timelines of World History
Timelines in US advertising
Timelines - AlternaTime
Timelines.Info - Graphical Timelines of World History
Timelines - AlternaTime
United States Historical Census Browser (1790-1960)
100 Largest Cities and Other Urban Places: 1790 to 1990
Demographic Trends in the 20th Century
WhoWhatWhen - Interactive Historical Timelines
Jeffrey Williamson (1996), "Globalization, Convergence, and History," Journal of Economic History 56, pp.277-306.
 
 

technology

National security

  • John B. Judis, Imperial Amnesia," Foreign Policy, July/August 2004
  • Ian Bremmer, "Are the US and China on a collision course? Fortune 1/24/2004
  • Simon Romero, China emerging as US rival for Canada' oil," NYT 12/23/2004
  • Benjamin DeMott, “Whitewash as public service: How the 9/11 commission report defrauds the nation.” Harpers Oct 2004

  • Center for New American Century

  • Richard Goodwin, Making the facts fit the case of war,"  NYT 2/8/2004

Maps

Students

writing/speaking

Jennifer Reingold, "Behind the curtain," Fast Company October 2004

Kristie Engeman, Leora Friedberg, and Michael Owyang, "Keep your resume current," The Regional Economist J 2005

Careers

Engemann, Friedberg, andOwang, "Keep your resume current,"  The Regional Economist Jan 2005

Research Methods  

Internet & Economy

Hal Varian web page

Pew Internet Project

Hal Varian The Information Economy

N. Economides, Network Economics

World Information Technology Alliance

Crime

Social Security

Resource Center on Ageing, UC Berkely
BC Center on retirement
Social Security online
Social Security Bulletin
History
Chronology
Key dates in history
Legislative History
OASIS History articles
Reports & Studies
Reprints of Anniversary Issues of OASIS magazine (SSA)
Texts of statements at 1935 Congressional Hearing
Why Social Security (1937 Social Security Board Pamphlet)
International update
Facts & figures 2004
Statistical Tables
Annual Statistical Supplement, 2004
Social Security Annual Statistics 2003 (data and history)
trust fund data
Congressional Budget Office
Social Security: A Primer, September 2001
Testimony on Budgetary Perspectives on the Outlook for Social Security, February 9, 2005
Social Security and the Federal Budget: The Necessity of Maintaining a Comprehensive Long-Range Perspective, August 1, 2002
How Pension Financing Affects Returns to Different Generations, September 22, 2004
SS and the federal budget, Social Security: A Primer (September 2001)
A 125-Year Picture of the Federal Government's Share of the Economy, 1950 to 2075, (July 3, 2002)
The Looming Budgetary Impact of Society's Aging, (July 3, 2002).
Robert Ball, "Fixing Social Security," The Century Foundation May 2005
John Bongaarts, "Population aging and the rising cost of public pensions."  Population Council Working Paper

Johnathan Chalt, "A principled case for obstruction," The New republic 3/21/05

Robert Clark, "Social Security financing: facts, fab=ntasies, foibles, and follies," AER May 2004

Henrik Kronquist and Richard Thaler, "Design choices in privatized Social-Security systems: Learning from the SAwedisn example," AER May 2004

Thomas A. Garrett and Russell M. Rhine, Social Security versus Private Retirement Accounts: A Historical Analysis, StL Review M/A 2005

Gerald Dwyer, "Social Security Private Accounts: A Risky Proposition?" FRB Atlanta 2005:3
Data (.xls)

Craig Hakkio and Elisha J. Wisema, Social Security and Medicare: The Impending Fiscal Challenge, KC Fed M/A 2006 

David Hineline Ohio State University ...Flat Tax, Equity and Politics
Martin Feldstein,  "The missing piece in policy analysis: social security reform." AER May 1996
Michael Hudson, "The $4.7 Trillion Pyramid," Harpers April 2005
Robert Pozen...., "Improving Social Security's Progressivity and Solvency with hybrid indexing," AER May 2004

"Reforming social security." AER. May 1996

Nouriel Roubini Social Security: Reform or Privatization? on web site under Current Policy Topics
Max Sawicky, "Collision course: The Bush budget and social security." Economic Policy Institute
Kent Smetter, "Is Social Security trust fund a stor of value?," AER May 2004

"Social security and the real economy." AER. May 1998

"The shift away from thrift," The Economist 4/9/2005

Intergenerational equity

Hitotsubashi University
In Search for Sustainability and Intergenerational Equity ...
Intergenerational equity
Greenspan on fiscal issues

 

Visible Hand

State & local

James Alt and Robert Lowry, "A dynamic model of state budget outcomes under divided partisan government," Journal of Politics 62:4 2000
Timothy Besley and Anne Case, "Political Institutions and Policy Choices: Evidence from teh United States," JEL 41:1 2003
John Broder, "State coffers swelling again after struggles," NYT 11/25/2005
Thomas Garrett and Gary Wagner, "State government finances: World war II to the current crisis," StL. Economic Review M/A 2004
Joshua Kurlantzick, "Condemnation nation: The big business of eminent domain," Harpers October 2005
John Petersen, Changing red to black: deficit closing alchemy," National tax Journal 56:3 2003
E. Matthew Quigley  "state financial crises," Regional Review 2003:1
*Steven Sheffrin, "State budget deficit dynamics and the California debacle," JPE Spring 2004
National Association of State Budget Officers
National Conference of State Legislatures
Rockefeller Instiutue of Government
.
Census of Governments
State & Local Government Finances
Census of Government 2002 Preliminary Report: Governmental Units
Public Education Finances Report
Census of Governments: Organizations  
Descriptions  
State lottery data

Federal Budgets

Congressional Budget Office (links to historical data)
Office of Management and Budget
Historical tables
Budget (U of Michigan list)
IRS
tax forms including the 1040 form
Statistics of Income including  Bulletins.
Federal Budget Java Site by Kowal Design
Tax History  (Museum)
Tax history museum
Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
Citizens for Tax Justice
Center for Defense Information
marginal tax rates
History of tax rates 
Consumer Expenditure Survey

Taxes and spending

Albert Alesina and Edward Glaeser, Fighting poverty in the US and Europe: A world of difference," Oxford University Press forthcoming in 2004
Alan Auerbach, "A consumption tax," The Wall Street Jopurnal August 25, 2005
Richard Bayon, "The Fuel Subsidy We Need," The Atlantic Monthly, J/F 2003
Ray Boshara, "The $6,000 Solution," The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2003
David Brooks, "Looking pack on tomorrow," The Atlantic Monthly, April 2002
Dalton Conley, "Turning the tax tables to help the poor," NYT 11/15/2004  op-ed
"Death and taxes," The Economist  7/8/2000
David Fettig, "Capital Income Taxes: A Bad Idea," The Region Dec 1999
"Flat income taxes," The Economist September 10, 2005
Thomas Friedman, "Singapore and Katrina," NYT September 14, 2005
Alan Garner, Consumption Taxes: Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Issues, KCFED Review 2005 II
"Georgia's New Poll Tax," NYT Sept. 12, 2005
Bob Hebert, "The machete budget," NYT 1/2/2006
Karen Kornbluh, "The Parent Trap," The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2003
Paul Krugman, "Bush's class-war budget," NYT February 11, 2005
Paul Krugman, "Tax cut zombies," NYT 12/23/2005
Maya MacGuineas, "Radical Tax Reform," The Atlantic Monthly J/F 2004
Daniel Pink, "Givers and Takers," NYT january 30, 2004
Frank Rich, "Bring back Warren Harding," NYT Septermber 25, 2005
David Rosenbaum, "Tax panel says popular breaks should be cut," NYT October 12, 2005
Ken Silverstein, "The Great American Pork Barrel," Harpers July 2005
"Simplifying tax systems," The Economist April 16, 2005
Rebecca Solnit, "The uses of disaster," Harpers October 2005
Joseph Stiglitz, "Progressive Dementia," The Atlantic monthly November 2005
"The $91 billion conversation," Fortune Oct 31, 2005
"The flat-tax revolution," The Economist April 16, 2005
"The impact of central Europe's tax revolution," The Economist March 5, 2005
John Tierney, " The solve-everything tax," NYT October 4, 2005
Teresa Tritch, "Talking Points: Tilting the tax system in favor of the rich," NYT
Louis Uchitelle, "Disasters waiting to happen," NYT September 11, 2005
John Joseph Wallis, "American government finance in he long run: 1790-1990," JEP Winter 2000
 

Budget deficits

KC Fed Symposium1995, "Budget Deficits and Debt: Issues and Options"
"A flood of red ink," The Economist 11/8/2003
"America's deficits: A flood of red ink," The Economist, November 8, 2003
Edmund Andrews & David Rosenbaum," The in big picture may seem rosy, but the deficit is in the details," New York Times February 8, 2005
Anna Bernasek, "The $44 Trillion Abyss," Fortune 11/24/2003
Bruce Bartlett, "Democrats, Republicans, Surplus, and Deficit," WSJ 2/20/2003
Richard Bernier, "The terror economy," NYT 10/23/2001
Donald Brash, "How Should Monetary Policymakers Respond to the New Challenges of Global Economic Integration?," KCFed Economic Review 1999
"Coping with surpluses," The Economist 5/20/2000
"Deficit forecasts are grim, but avoiding political pain may prove all too tempting," NYT 2/13/2003
"Die another day? Budget deficits and interest rates," National Economic Trends December 2002
Maureen Dowd, "Running fast into the future," NYT 1/15/2003
Roger W. Ferguson, Technology, Macroeconomics, and Monetary Policy,  December 6, 2000
Justin Fox, "Here we go again," Fortune 5/12/2003
Dwyer, Gerald and R. W. Hafer. "The federal government's budget surplus: cause for celebration?" Atlanta Economic Review 1998:3
John G. Fernald and Victoria Greenfield, "T he rise and fall of the global economy," Chicago Fed Letter April 2001
James Galbraith, "What is the American model really about: Soft budgets and the Keynesian devolution," Levy Institute 2003
"Gaming the surplus," The Economist 3/11/2000
Bob Herbert, "An appeal to uncle sam," NYT 1/16/2003
Bob Herbert, "The war on schools," NYT 
"Hidden dangers," The Economist 8/2/200
George A. Kahn, "Global Economic Integration: Opportunities and Challenges--A Summary of the Bank's 2000 Symposium," KCFed Economic Review 1999
Kevin Kliessen, "Big government: The comeback kid? The Regional Economist Jan 2003
Nicholas Kristof, "A glide path to ruin," New York Times June 26, 2005
Alan Krueger, "Connecting the dots from tax cuts for the wealthy to loss of benefits," NYT 
Paul Krugman, "Stimulus for lawyers," NYT 1/14/2003
Paul Krugman, "deficits and deceit," New York Times March 4, 2005
Paul Krugman, "Jobs, Jobs, Jobs," NYT April 22, 2003
Joseph Lieberman, "Bush is wrong on taxes," NYT 
Leon Panetta, "Can Congress discipline itself?," NYT 2/8/2002
Maya MacGuineas, "Radical Tax Reform," The Atlantic Monthly J 2004
Bill Moyers, "This is your story-The progressive story of America. Pass it on," Common Dreams 6/12/2003
Dan Quayle, "Time for a 30% tax cut," NYT 1/25/1999
"Red George," The Economist 7/5/2003
Robert Reich, "The other surplus option," NYT /11/95
"Remember fiscal policy," The Economist 1/19/2002
"Restoring the fiscal option," The Economist1/19/2002
David Rosenbaum, "Tax cuts and war have seldom mixed," NYT 3/9/2003
Francine usso, "Can government prevent divoirce?," The Atlantic October 1997
Allen Schick, "A surplus if we can keep it," Brookings Review Winter 2000
Summers & Yellen, "Saving the surplus will protect retirees," NYT 
Vito Tanzi and Ludger Schukenecht. "Reconsidering the fiscal role of government: The international perspective." AER May 1997
"The great exploding tax cut," The Economist 3/3/2001
The price of profligacy," The Economist 1/25/2003
"The sweet spot,"
"The torch has been passed," The Economist  2/8/2003
Carl Walsh, "The role of fiscal policy," FRBSF Economic Letter 9/6/2002
Robin Toner, "Now government is the solution, Not the problem," NYT 9/30/2001

Gov. History

Erie canal
[Houghton Mifflin's Reader's Companion to American History - -FIRE DEPARTMENTS]
Tax Policy Center
History of the Income Tax in the United States
segeneology maps of US
U of VA maps
Outrage dynamic map.
milestones in public transportation
Highest marginal tax rates (International)
pictures of Lowell
Copper country mills pictures

Spending, taxes and behavior

Phineas Baxandall, Taxing Habits  
Cordes, Joseph J. "Reconciling normative and positive theories of government." AER May 1997
Drucker, Peter F, Really reinventing government, The Atlantic Monthly; Boston; Feb 1995; 
Frye, Timothy and Andrei Shleifer. "The invisible hand and the grabbing hand." AER May 1996
Robert P Inman and Daniel Rubenfeld. "Rethinking federalism." JEP. Fall 1997
Kevin L. Kliesen, The Return of Big Government The Regional Economist January 2003
Joshua Kurlantzik, "Condemntaion Nation: The big business of emminent domain," Harpers 10/2005
Peter Peterson, "Facing Up," The Atlantic Monthly October 1993
Prescott, "Why do Americans work so much more than Europeans?, Minn Fed Quarterly Review, July 2004
Alice Rivlin, "Challenges of Modern Capitalism," Regional Review 2002:3
Symposium "Devolution: The New Federalism: Proceedings of a Colloquium," NE Economic Review M/J 1998

IRS sites

IRS homepage
IRS tax forms
1040 form
IRS tax tables  
SOI Bulletins
High-Income Tax Returns for 2000   June 2003.
The 400 Individual Income Tax Returns Reporting the Highest Adjusted Gross Incomes Each Year, 1992-2000   June 2003.
Individual Income Tax Rates and Tax Shares, 2000    April 2003.
Individual Income Tax Returns, Preliminary Data, 2001  April 2003.
International Boycott Reports, 1999 and 2000  April 2003.
Personal Wealth, 1998  April 2003.
Individual Income Tax Returns, 2000 December 2002.
Federal Estate Tax Returns, 1998-2000, June 2002.
Internal Revenue Gross Collections, by State.

Tax Analysis Think Tanks...

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
Citizens for Tax Justice

 Bush tax cuts: some sources

Agenda for tax relief
Text of the of the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Act of 2001
Jobs & Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003
Law
CTJ Analysis of Revised Bush Tax Plan
President Bush Signs HR 2, Containing Major Tax Cut for ...
Tax, Legal, Legislative Highlights: President Bush Signs Tax-Cut ...
text of the of the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Act of 2001

 

 
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